If AI can take over junior level knowledge jobs now, it stands to reason AI
will mature fast enough to keep pace with the rate at which junior level
practitioners would have gained experience to do mid-level and senior jobs.
It's an eventuality that the robots make people obsolete. The only
questions are
1) whether it happens in 5, 20, or 200 years.
2) a) whether all humans live affluent fulfilling lives, b) whether Elon
Musk, Bill Gates, and Jeff Bezos live affluent, fulfilling lives, and the
rest of us live in Darfur. c) Skynet suffers no primates to live.
On Sat, Dec 2, 2023 at 2:35 PM George Toft via PLUG-discuss <
plug-discuss@lists.phxlinux.org> wrote:
> Thanks for posting.
>
> IMHO, the future is not in tech, as this article defined it, but closely
> related: Identity and Access Management (IAM) and Privileged Access
> Management (PAM), Mainframe operations (yes, mainframes are still here),
> Red Team (ooooh - sexy :) ), and Data Analytics and Machine Learning.
> The pay is definitely comparable to this article's top 5, if not higher.
>
> Whereas I liked being a sysadmin, my job got shipped to Argentina for
> $6/hr (last I heard, they were up to $10/hr). That's a really bad place
> to be. If you want to live a nice lifestyle ... and I've been saying
> this since 2005 ... you have to do something that can't be off-shored.
> Do something that must be done in this country. Lately, this has come
> to mean:
>
> 1. Be inquisitive. How can I make this cheaper, faster, less
> resource-intensive? Why did it break? How do I keep it from ever
> breaking again? Will this failure happen elsewhere? Three principles
> for success: Make it easier for the User; make it cheaper; make it more
> efficient.
>
> 2. Challenge the status quo. Just because it has always been this way
> doesn't mean it's the best way now.
>
> 3. Write the solutions flowcharts. If you follow a script (AKA
> flowchart) to arrive at solutions to problems, you can be replaced by an
> AI, specifically, an expert system, and in 5 years, a Generative AI like
> Bard or ChatGPT. Expert systems been around since the 60's. Hell, I
> wrote an AI (simple machine learning) in 1990 that corrected spelling
> errors at the command line based on user performance. You need to be
> the one generating the flow chart for the folks to follow.
>
> 4. Be able to create metrics on everything you do. "If you can't
> measure it, you can't manage it" is the mantra of management this
> decade. I've had to become really creative with my metrics to show
> improvement over time, especially when I begin to alter User behavior
> before I figured out the metric. Oopsies. I've also discovered how to
> create metrics that track the adoption and consumption of our services,
> which helps management when they choose insane paths like replacing a
> Gartner Magic Quadrant product some some Open Source stuff that's
> "freeeee." For those that don't know me, I've been an OS advocate since
> 1998, but there ain't no such thing as a free lunch and when Managers
> see $0.00 licensing costs, they oftentimes fail to understand the local
> engineering effort required to meet that Proprietary product's
> capabilities. Yes, this is my hot topic this week as I battle three
> levels of management on a fool-hardy decision whose ramifications they
> don't understand.
>
> I'm in the process of changing careers. The biggest problem I see is
> the total lack of people that can do the above. Our replacements don't
> exist. My whole US team is within 5 years of retirement/resignation and
> we have nobody to replace us. Wanna thrive in the next 20 years, be the
> one that can do the above. Be our replacements.
>
> BTW - I just had a film in the First Annual AIFilmFest and I interrupted
> the film to sound the alarm about Generative AI taking over junior level
> jobs. But I rant ...
>
> Cheers!
>
> George Toft
>
> On 12/2/2023 7:30 AM, Keith Smith via PLUG-discuss wrote:
> > Hi,
> >
> > Found thins interesting:
> >
> >
> https://www.forbes.com/sites/jackkelly/2023/12/01/these-are-the-10-highest-paying-tech-jobs-in-the-us/?sh=276f0e8c515a
> >
> >
> > Keith
> > ---------------------------------------------------
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